UPDATED: 08-28-26 11:10 PDT

stick Tulsa
  
Tulsa                 
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 67.6130

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Abilene Chr 35- 7 906 A NM St CUSA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 14-21 913 H Navy AME (10- 2, 78.8) 23-42 919 A Oklahoma St B12 ( 2-10, 66.8) 19-12 927 H Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 14-31 1004 A Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 7-45 1016 A Ea Carolina AME ( 9- 4, 81.3) 27-41 1025 H Temple AME ( 5- 7, 71.4) 37-38 1108 A Fla Atlantic AME ( 4- 8, 70.2) 21-40 1115 H Oregon St P12 ( 2-10, 62.9) 31-14 1122 A Army AME ( 7- 6, 78.4) 26-25 1129 H UAB AME ( 4- 8, 68.2) 24-31

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   906 A NM St                  14-21      -7    -3    --    -4.27
   913 H Navy                   23-42     -19    -6    ---   -8.08
   919 A Oklahoma St            19-12       7    -4    +++   11.41
   927 H Tulane                 14-31     -17    -9    --    -4.86
  1004 A Memphis                 7-45     -38   -15           0.00
  1016 A Ea Carolina            27-41     -14   -19           0.00
  1025 H Temple                 37-38      -1     1    -     -2.49
  1108 A Fla Atlantic           21-40     -19    -8    ---   -6.11
  1115 H Oregon St              31-14      17    10    ++     4.06
  1122 A Army                   26-25       1   -16    +++   15.00
  1129 H UAB                    24-31      -7     5    ---  -11.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   913 H Navy                   23-42     -19    -6    ---   -8.08
  1108 A Fla Atlantic           21-40     -19    -8    ---   -6.11
  1129 H UAB                    24-31      -7     5    ---  -11.64
   906 A NM St                  14-21      -7    -3    --    -4.27
   927 H Tulane                 14-31     -17    -9    --    -4.86
  1025 H Temple                 37-38      -1     1    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   919 A Oklahoma St            19-12       7    -4    +++   11.41
  1122 A Army                   26-25       1   -16    +++   15.00
  1115 H Oregon St              31-14      17    10    ++     4.06

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A NM St           ( 4- 8, 65.1)    14-21      -34.81      16.41       5.26         1.16           -17.13
   3 H Navy            (10- 2, 78.8)    23-42      -21.10      30.12      -5.26         1.16           -15.28
   3 A Oklahoma St     ( 2-10, 66.8)    19-12      -33.14      18.08       5.26         1.16            54.11
   3 H Tulane          (11- 3, 82.0)    14-31      -17.89      33.33      -5.26         1.16           -13.42
   3 A Memphis         ( 8- 5, 77.7)     7-45      -22.20      29.02       5.26         1.16            -9.82
   3 A Ea Carolina     ( 9- 4, 81.3)    27-41      -18.61      32.61       5.26         1.16            -7.74
   3 H Temple          ( 5- 7, 71.4)    37-38      -28.52      22.70      -5.26         1.16           -19.58
   3 A Fla Atlantic    ( 4- 8, 70.2)    21-40      -29.66      21.56       5.26         1.16           -14.14
   3 H Oregon St       ( 2-10, 62.9)    31-14      -36.96      14.26      -5.26         1.16            20.85
   3 A Army            ( 7- 6, 78.4)    26-25      -21.51      29.71       5.26         1.16            81.06
   3 H UAB             ( 4- 8, 68.2)    24-31      -31.66      19.56      -5.26         1.16           -21.40
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        37.54

winning pts = 156.0332 losing points = -118.4972

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------